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The Search For Support
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The Search For Support

Bitcoin has been selling off for four days in a row. Where is support possible?

Aug 02, 2022
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The Search For Support
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Cheat Sheet -

Support and resistance levels and our daily, weekly and monthly bias on BTC, GOLD, OIL, ES, and NQ as well as our favorite altcoins

New here? Learn how to read the cheat sheet here.

What We Are Watching

We further breakdown our case for these cryptos here : What We Are Watching


Crypto News

  • Steve Cohen exits investment in crypto prop trading firm Radkl (The Block)

  • TPS Capital exec departs as trading firm distances itself from 3AC (The Block)

  • Nomad cross-chain crypto bridge suffers $190 million exploit (The Block)

  • Robinhood's Crypto Division Fined $30M by NY Financial Regulator (CoinDesk)

  • NFT Exchange Magic Eden Expands to Ethereum (CoinDesk)

  • Crypto Exchange Luno Wins Regulator Registration in France (CoinDesk)

  • Metaverse market share to surpass $50 billion by 2026, says new report (CoinTelegraph)

  • Singaporean financial watchdog to consult public on stablecoin regulation (CoinTelegraph)

  • Binance US Delists Token After SEC Labels it a Security (Blockworks)

  • NY Attorney General Issues Call for Crypto Industry Whistleblowers (Blockworks)

  • Cybercriminals Plagiarize LinkedIn, Indeed Profiles to Apply for Crypto Jobs (Decrypt)


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BTC Outlook

Green Line = 20 Day Moving Average; Yellow Line = 50 Day Moving Average

The rally last week stalled out at the top of the bear flag that has been forming since mid June. The only context that has changed is where the price is relative to its 20 day and 50 day moving averages. In the first time in nearly four months the 20 day moving average has crossed in a positive way through the 50 day moving average (a golden cross). This simply means the price has stopped going down in the short term as the rate it was in the mid term. This can be a sign of a trend reversal.

However, looking back earlier this year to April you can see that when a similar bullish cross happened the price rallied in the short term but could not stay above the 20 day moving average for long and once it broke through again the price followed the 20 day moving average down for nearly 5 months.

This means it is likely market participants will be watching these two moving averages closely to see how the price behaves around it. If the 20 day holds as support this is a sign that buyers are back in the market and otherwise caution should be taken as more sideways or downward price action is likely

Please join us in our discord where we discuss active and potential trades.

Possible Course of Action

  • Long while price holds 20 day moving average as support

  • Do nothing and wait for the 50 day moving average to hold as support

  • Short or stop losses if the 20 day moving average fails to hold as support

The Bulls’ Defense:

  • Down trend is over extended

  • Golden cross of 20 day MA and 50 day MA

The Bears’ Prosecution:

  • Bear flag

  • Global macro uncertainty

  • Tech stock correlation

Earn Interest on your Bitcoin

A Closer Look

This section will be focused on taking a closer look on what Hal thinks is important to watch in the coming week.

In support of our latest private podcast. Today we are going to focus on two altcoins on our cheat sheet.

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